2014 UAAP Power Rankings as of July 14, 2014

How do the teams stack up after opening weekend?
(images by Jan Dizon/Inboundpass.com)

These rankings are based on each team's Current Efficiency Ratings, the point difference in its game results, and “bonus points” for beating a team based on its “tier” or how strong it is perceived. The formula I used was this:

I calculate Current Efficiency Ratings or CER this way: (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) - (turnovers + field goals missed + free throws missed) — for the remainder of the season, I wil be using team averages for these values.

As per the collected opinion of most UAAP pundits, I chose to segregate the eight UAAP schools into the following tiers:

Tier 1: DLSU Green Archers (defending champs and title favorites)
Tier 2: UST Growling Tigers, NU Bulldogs, FEU Tamaraws, ADMU Blue Eagles, and UE Red Warriors (all Final Four contenders)
Tier 3: ADU Soaring Falcons and UP Fighting Maroons (Final Four long shots)

Any time a team beats DLSU, it gets 30 “bonus points.”

Any time a team beats a Tier 2 team, it gets 20 “bonus points.”

Any time a team beats a Tier 3 team, it gets 10 “bonus points.”

These tiers will change after the first round.

Ranking Points = CER +/- average point difference per game + “bonus points”

Despite the limitations of the statistical basis, I believe that these rankings still generally reflect a balance of "how good each team has been" and "how good each team is projected to be."

Let's go. Time for the disagreeing to begin.

1 - UE Red Warriors (1-win, 0-losses, 103 CER + 28 pt. diff + 10 bonus = 141 ranking points)
- Dan Alberto’s hitting 5 threes is probably a fluke, but the Reds were still mighty scary against the hapless Maroons. Moustapha Arafat and Gino Jumao-as were in aggro mode, while Chris Javier and Ronnie De Leon were both productive. As for projected MVP candidate Roi Sumang? 7 points, 5 rebounds, 6 assists, and 1 steal. Pedestrian numbers, yes, but UE still won by a mile. They’ll be tested by a scorned UST next.

2 - ADMU Blue Eagles (1-win, 0-losses, 94 CER + 22 pt. diff + 10 bonus = 126 ranking points)
- Kiefer Ravena was all over the place (in a good way), Von Pessumal’s shooting stroke looked confident, Chris Newsome was effective, and rookie Arvin Tolentino gave us a glimpse of how great he could be. It was a debut that put most of Ateneo’s arsenal on display. Oh, and how about that full court press, huh? Should be fun when they take on the defending champs this weekend.

3 - FEU Tamaraws (1-win, 0-losses, 76 CER + 5 pt. diff + 30 bonus = 111 ranking points)
- Mike Tolomia and Mac Belo were both awesome in this game. They paired up for 43 points on nearly 50% FG shooting. Tolomia, in particular, was practically unstoppable in the second half. If he wasn’t hitting those wing threes, then he was finding teammates open in easy spots. He was just awesome. And who did they beat again? Yeah, the champs, who ousted the Tams in the Final Four last year.

4 -  NU Bulldogs (1-win, 0-losses, 54 CER + 19 pt. diff + 20 bonus = 93 ranking points)
- I love how NU just dominated and decimated UST. A lot of people thought NU wouldn’t be much after the Ray Parks-Emmanuel Mbe era, but the Bulldgos actually looked to have more balance and fluidity. They weren’t exactly red hot from the floor, but they shackled UST to just 24% shooting from the field. That in itself was amazing. Gelo Alolino and Troy Rosario both looked really solid, too. I don’t think there’s a single, standout leader in this bunch, but that might actually prove to be its strength.

5 - DLSU Green Archers (0-wins, 1-loss, 70 CER - 5 pt. diff = 65 ranking points)
- The Archers seemed to be the better team before Mike Tolomia decided to take over. This shouldn’t be an ominous sign of things to come, however, because the champs will surely bounce back sooner rather than later. Unless, of course, their coaches decide to wear those green pants again.

6 - ADU Soaring Falcons (0-wins, 1-loss, 37 CER - 22 pt. diff = 15 ranking points)
- Lost in the Falcons’ blowout loss to the Eagles was the fact that Kenneth Duremdes’s wards actually outscored Ateneo in the second half, 39-32. Sure, it was still a really bad defeat, but there are some positives to take, like how Ivan Villanueva might be the UAAP’s version of Beau Belga.

7 - UP Fighting Maroons (0-wins, 1-loss, 30 CER - 28 pt. diff = 2 ranking points)
- The Maroons actually played well in the first quarter. They were aggressive on both ends and didn’t get bogged down by every UE basket. It was a far different story for the remainder of the game, though, as UE just kept up the pressure and UP unraveled into the same team that hasn’t won since August 19, 2012. Bright spot? How about Kyles Lao dropping 18 points and netting 4 steals?

8 - UST Growling Tigers (0-wins, 1-loss, 13 CER - 19 pt. diff = -6 ranking points)
- Yes, statistically speaking, the Tigers were the worst. Worse than BOTH Adamson and UP. I mean, they missed 44 of 58 field goals and made just 59% of their free throws. They had only 3 assists the entire game and turned the ball over 25 times. The silver lining? Things shouldn’t get this bad again for a very long time and, as the cliche goes, there’s nowhere to go but up.

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